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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+10.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+5.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+2.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+4.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.20vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.45+3.51vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-0.84vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-2.88vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.99-1.59vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.93-2.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-3.11vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.30-2.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.83-5.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-8.62vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.69-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.42Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.51Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.84College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.86Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.37Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Green | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.