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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+8.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+9.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+7.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.92vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.45+4.53vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99+1.12vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.65vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62+1.14vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-1.39vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.37vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-2.67vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.43-6.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-6.88vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-5.89vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.22-8.65vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.53Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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10.33Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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7.08Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% |
| Alexander Gonzalez | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Bridget Green | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.