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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+10.02vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+7.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+5.51vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+3.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+2.38vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-0.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+1.99vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69+1.57vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53+1.51vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-3.65vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-3.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.56vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.45-2.73vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-2.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-6.61vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.10-8.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.83-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.02Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.53Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.57Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.51Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.27Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.2Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Green | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 16.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.