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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+7.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+4.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-1.11vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.45+0.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-5.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-1.92vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.30-2.36vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-8.49vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-7.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.69-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.7Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Bridget Green | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.