Race 14A

atlantic-coast-open-finals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lachlain McGranahan 10.8% 11.6% 9.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.0% 6.3% 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Colman Schofield 4.3% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 4.4% 5.4% 4.5% 7.7% 7.1% 8.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3%
Teddy Nicolosi 9.7% 9.1% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.8% 7.6% 5.1% 3.4% 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% 0.8%
Jordan Bruce 3.9% 6.3% 5.2% 6.0% 5.0% 6.1% 5.4% 5.9% 6.0% 5.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.1% 8.5% 5.9%
Kyle Pfrang 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.9% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.8% 5.1% 8.2% 8.9% 13.1% 18.4%
Connor Nelson 8.3% 8.9% 10.7% 8.1% 8.9% 8.4% 6.8% 7.7% 5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.3% 3.5% 2.7% 3.4% 1.3%
Mariner Fagan 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.9% 8.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.2% 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 2.1%
Trevor Davis 4.2% 5.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 4.6% 6.6% 5.5% 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 8.3% 10.2%
Sam Bruce 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 7.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.0% 6.9% 9.2%
Nathan Smith 6.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 6.8% 5.6% 6.2% 5.3% 4.0%
Kerem Erkmen 9.1% 6.8% 7.6% 7.1% 6.6% 7.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.7% 5.4% 5.6% 6.0% 5.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.9%
Robert Bragg 10.9% 8.3% 10.1% 11.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 6.4% 5.4% 5.8% 2.9% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2%
Bridget Green 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 5.6% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 8.7% 6.5% 8.3% 8.7%
Michelle Lahrkamp 6.4% 5.0% 6.1% 7.7% 6.3% 7.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 3.5% 4.4%
Michael Kirkman 3.8% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 6.0% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 6.6% 8.2% 9.9% 12.2% 10.5%
Kelly Holthus 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.6% 5.8% 4.4% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 10.4% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.