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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+5.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+5.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.91vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+2.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.53-0.64vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+2.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35+2.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.79-0.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-2.24vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.40-7.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-2.69vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-7.79vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.47-6.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.34-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.33Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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8.8Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.29College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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11.09Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.