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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+6.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+4.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+7.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+7.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.03vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+2.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+4.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.77-0.22vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-2.04vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.53-5.29vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.79-3.70vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.92vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-3.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.07-7.75vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.47-6.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.2College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.78Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.96Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.35Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Miles Williams | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.