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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+10.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+3.98vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+7.05vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+0.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+2.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79+2.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.49+2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-1.01vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.77-1.43vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10+0.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.89vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.53-7.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.43-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.55-5.56vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.07-8.70vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.05-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.05Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.57Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.