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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+7.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.89vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+7.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+5.18vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+5.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+1.91vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34+4.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.79+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+3.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.20vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.53-4.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.40-4.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.74vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.05-2.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.05-2.74vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.91-7.23vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.55-6.64vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.9College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.1Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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12.26Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 14.7% |
| John Eastman | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.