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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+11.32vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+6.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+2.97vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+7.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+5.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+3.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-0.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-0.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.05+2.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-0.85vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-5.01vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-7.71vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.91-7.21vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.79-7.61vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.53-12.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.32University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.0Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.98College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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12.15Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.99Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.39Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| John Eastman | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.