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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+4.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+8.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+5.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+4.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+6.93vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.07vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+2.87vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.77+0.12vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.53-3.70vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-4.39vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.72-2.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-1.02vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.94-5.85vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.05-3.69vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.91-8.30vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.34-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.97Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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10.87College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.0% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 15.0% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| John Eastman | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.