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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+4.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+6.09vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+3.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+6.11vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+3.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+0.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+3.02vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72+0.44vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-2.47vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.77-3.90vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-2.86vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.43-5.17vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.34-5.80vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.91-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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8.48Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.02College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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9.53Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.1Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.2Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Miles Williams | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.