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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+5.91vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+6.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+5.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+5.39vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+5.07vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.53-0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07+1.32vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.91-2.98vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-4.56vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.77-5.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.43-5.21vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-5.71vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.13-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.73Dartmouth College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.07College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.44Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.2Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.29Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.