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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+5.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+8.65vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+6.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+5.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+3.60vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+5.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-0.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-2.95vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.10-2.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.64-8.32vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.34-3.83vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.35-4.79vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.43-6.02vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.77-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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9.02Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.6Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.17Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.21College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.98Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.