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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+5.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+8.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+3.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+6.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-0.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-0.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-0.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-0.20vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34+1.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.40vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-2.31vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-2.88vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.79-6.62vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-6.25vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.94-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.08College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.43Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.51Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 11.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.