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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+8.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+4.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+2.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+3.05vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34+5.30vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79+2.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07+0.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.40vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35+1.51vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.64-4.99vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10+0.61vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.77-3.61vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.94-5.59vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.98vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.43-4.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.80vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.47-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.95Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.3Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.51College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.41Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 19.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.