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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+8.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida4.17+8.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+4.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.41vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-0.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.78+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.62+4.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.76+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.99+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.77vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-1.36vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-1.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.89-7.37vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-3.27vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.70-4.12vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-8.18vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.19-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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11.67Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.73Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.88Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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9.51Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Robert Vann | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% |
| William Haeger | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| David Thompson | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.