← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.64+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.53+4.51vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.77+6.74vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.10+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.79+4.35vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.40+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.23+0.55vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.01vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.43+1.97vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.10+1.34vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.34-0.31vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.94-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.98vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.07-6.91vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.35-4.66vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.47-6.13vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.49-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.51Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.74Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.01Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
9.35Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
6.87Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.97Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
11.69Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
11.34College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.52Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 17.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.