← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.53+5.46vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+8.55vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+8.52vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.49+6.40vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.23+2.35vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.40+0.79vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.43+3.82vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.34+3.10vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.05+2.65vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.07+1.37vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.91-2.86vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston2.35-2.04vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.64-8.38vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.77-5.67vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.79-6.63vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.10-8.88vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.94-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.46Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.4Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.35Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.79Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
10.82Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.1Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
12.65University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
-
12.37University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
9.14Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.96College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
5.62Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.33Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
9.37Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.12Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
8.42Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Maks Groom | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 17.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.