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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+7.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+9.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+7.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+5.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79+4.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+3.82vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-0.63vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.53-2.87vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.05+1.53vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-2.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.07-2.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.77vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.64-10.15vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.34-5.67vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.91-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.43College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.79Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.29Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Pennsylvania2.050.0%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.33Cornell University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 18.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Miles Williams | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.