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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+7.55vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25+10.54vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+3.65vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.28vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.91+4.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+4.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+0.51vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.07+3.07vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.01-1.80vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.27-0.99vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.17-5.91vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.35-7.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.03vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.08-3.99vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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5.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.41Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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9.2North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.01University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.09Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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10.21Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Will Murray | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 19.6% |
| Adam Larson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Lars Osell | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.