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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+8.67vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+7.28vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.66+3.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+4.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.90+4.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.10vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.70vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+1.38vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.35-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.27+1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.07+1.23vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.25-0.98vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.08-2.19vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.17-7.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.94vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.42Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Will Priebe | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 22.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% |
| Will Murray | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 18.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Lars Osell | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.