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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.08+1.19vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+0.84vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.03+0.43vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.99-0.72vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Chicago-0.0837.1%1st Place
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2.84Marquette University-0.6322.6%1st Place
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3.43Purdue University-1.0314.1%1st Place
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3.28Purdue University-0.9915.0%1st Place
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3.95Marquette University-1.438.6%1st Place
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5.31University of Notre Dame-2.702.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Higgins | 37.1% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Eva Paschke | 22.6% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 2.4% |
| Mathis Destouches | 14.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 7.4% |
| Silas Hokanson | 15.0% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 5.6% |
| John Riordan | 8.6% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 30.3% | 15.3% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.