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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.97vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+6.86vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+6.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+5.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+4.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+2.75vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62+3.17vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.52-1.36vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.70+0.95vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-0.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-2.89vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.68-2.41vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.89-8.20vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.49-7.51vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.72-5.17vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.78-10.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.0%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.75Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.95Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.83Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Robert Vann | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.4% |
| William Haeger | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.