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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+5.67vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+7.80vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+6.23vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.48vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.08+6.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+1.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+2.35vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17-0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+1.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-1.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-3.04vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.80vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-2.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-3.09vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.35-9.21vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.25-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.8Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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9.23North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.49George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.31Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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7.79SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Adam Larson | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Will Murray | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Lars Osell | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Will Priebe | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 19.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.