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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+5.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+7.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+8.22vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+4.89vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.93+2.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.32vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.60+1.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.81vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.89-2.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.11-2.76vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-4.91vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-6.80vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.53-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.69North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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8.89Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.34Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Abe Weston | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.