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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.93+6.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+3.66vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+6.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.97vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.27-0.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.01vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.89-2.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37-0.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11-1.71vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.49vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.69-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-2.86vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.92North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Porter Bell | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Abe Weston | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 19.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 27.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.