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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.63+1.79vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.99+1.32vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-1.03+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.08-1.81vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.43-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Marquette University-0.6322.4%1st Place
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3.32Purdue University-0.9915.0%1st Place
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3.46Purdue University-1.0313.6%1st Place
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2.19University of Chicago-0.0837.2%1st Place
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3.94Marquette University-1.439.3%1st Place
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5.3University of Notre Dame-2.702.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Paschke | 22.4% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Silas Hokanson | 15.0% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 5.9% |
| Mathis Destouches | 13.6% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 8.9% |
| Holden Higgins | 37.2% | 27.5% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| John Riordan | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 29.2% | 15.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.