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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+7.59vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+8.93vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+2.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+3.21vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+6.59vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+2.65vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+4.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08+1.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.89-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida4.17-1.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.62+0.52vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.49-4.65vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.70-2.46vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-7.97vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.34-6.76vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.68-4.95vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.19-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.59Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.54Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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12.05Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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9.55Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| David Thompson | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| William Haeger | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.7% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.