← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.60vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.93+5.83vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.32+6.29vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.35+1.19vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.27vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami2.27-1.47vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.42vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.37+0.02vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.60-1.71vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.46-2.29vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.54vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin1.11-2.80vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan0.53-1.93vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.89-7.95vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute1.69-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.83Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
10.29University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.19Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.53University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.02Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.29Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
-
9.71North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
12.46SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.2University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.07University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
-
8.05University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
-
8.9Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Porter Bell | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 28.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.