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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.85vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.76+10.23vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+3.60vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+5.77vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.93+2.08vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.35-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.89-0.77vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-1.73vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-3.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-3.77vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.11-3.92vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-7.14vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.53-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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12.23SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.77North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.86Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 18.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Porter Bell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Abe Weston | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.