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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.35+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+4.50vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+7.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.89+2.84vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69+3.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+2.77vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.53+4.27vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60-0.96vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.76vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11-1.77vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-3.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.83vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-9.79vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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7.84University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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9.03Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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9.77North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 30.2% |
| Porter Bell | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| Abe Weston | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.