← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.89+6.80vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+7.07vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.00vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.46+5.81vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.60vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.51-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.93+0.87vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College0.76+4.08vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.32+1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.32vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.37-0.76vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan0.53+1.12vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute1.69-4.06vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.60-4.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami2.27-8.39vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.11-4.88vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.8University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
-
9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
-
7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
9.81North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.92Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.87Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
12.08SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.47University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
10.24Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.12University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
-
8.94Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.37Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
6.61University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
11.12University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 30.3% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Abe Weston | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.