← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.44vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.51+3.55vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+5.91vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.89+3.91vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.24+5.29vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.76+6.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.32+3.08vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.37+1.68vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.11+2.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.27-3.64vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.29vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-5.10vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.77vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.69-5.18vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.46-5.45vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan0.53-2.98vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.60-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.55Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.91University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
-
10.29Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
12.38SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.68Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
11.11University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.36University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.82Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.55North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
-
9.05Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 18.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Abe Weston | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 25.7% |
| Porter Bell | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.