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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+9.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+6.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+1.34vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.00vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69+1.67vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.51-2.42vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.46+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.89-2.25vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76+1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-1.96vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-3.87vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-3.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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6.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.67Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.78North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.75University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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12.31SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.13Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 21.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Porter Bell | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 26.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.