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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+10.61vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.75vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+7.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.60+5.07vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.18+4.96vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37+2.16vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-3.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-6.04vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.69-4.34vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-7.30vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.24-4.31vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-2.41vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.78-8.37vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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9.11Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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9.79North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.66Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Porter Bell | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 27.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.