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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+5.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+7.49vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+4.68vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+5.68vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+2.50vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60+2.19vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61+1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+1.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.20vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.53+1.78vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-3.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.95vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.18-4.08vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-6.79vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-9.97vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.76-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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6.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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8.68Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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9.12Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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9.69North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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12.52SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Porter Bell | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 31.3% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.