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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.66+1.78vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+0.67vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.43+0.83vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.03-0.69vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.99-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Chicago-0.6624.1%1st Place
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2.67Marquette University-0.6326.7%1st Place
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3.83Marquette University-1.4310.9%1st Place
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3.31Purdue University-1.0317.1%1st Place
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3.14Purdue University-0.9918.7%1st Place
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5.27University of Notre Dame-2.702.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Manley | 24.1% | 23.9% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 2.8% |
| Eva Paschke | 26.7% | 24.5% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| John Riordan | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 27.0% | 14.4% |
| Mathis Destouches | 17.1% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 6.8% |
| Silas Hokanson | 18.7% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 5.6% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.