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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+3.88vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+3.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.89+3.13vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61+3.36vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+2.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+2.78vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60+0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.18+1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.34vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.53+0.45vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.78-5.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-4.74vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.69-6.95vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.26vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.57-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida1.890.1%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.96North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Wisconsin1.180.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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8.36Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.05Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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11.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.31SUNY Maritime College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Porter Bell | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 25.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Marcus Adam | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.