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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.63+1.66vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.43+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.66-0.18vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.03-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.70+0.25vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.99-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Marquette University-0.6327.7%1st Place
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3.78Marquette University-1.4311.3%1st Place
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2.82University of Chicago-0.6622.7%1st Place
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3.28Purdue University-1.0316.9%1st Place
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5.25University of Notre Dame-2.702.9%1st Place
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3.21Purdue University-0.9918.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Paschke | 27.7% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% |
| John Riordan | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 26.5% | 13.6% |
| Natalie Manley | 22.7% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| Mathis Destouches | 16.9% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 7.1% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 66.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 18.5% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.