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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.80+3.67vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.23+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.53+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13+2.32vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.09-2.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+1.36vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.67+2.43vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.72-1.09vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.77-6.11vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.91vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-0.52vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.22-3.49vs Predicted
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15McGill University-1.26-4.56vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67McGill University0.800.1%1st Place
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3.62Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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5.93University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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7.32University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.01Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.43Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.89Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.51Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.44McGill University-1.260.0%1st Place
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13.01Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Wyper | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 21.3% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 15.7% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 14.4% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 22.9% | 25.6% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Brendan Chinn | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.