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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.80+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.53+2.29vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.23-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35+0.98vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.09-2.03vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.22+3.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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10McGill University-1.26+0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+1.36vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.77-7.12vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-4.83vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-4.35vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.67-3.51vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68McGill University0.800.1%1st Place
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7.07University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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3.71Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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5.98University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.97Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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10.26Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.45McGill University-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.88Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.49Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.07Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Wyper | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Towner | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 20.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 17.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Chinn | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 26.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| cole capizzo | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 13.8% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.