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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.35+3.73vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.80+1.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.72+4.90vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.96vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.23-4.22vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+2.31vs Predicted
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11McGill University-1.26-0.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-2.57vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44+0.23vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.22-3.53vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.68-3.55vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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5.73University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.69McGill University0.800.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.87Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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7.26University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.78Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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12.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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10.5McGill University-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.47Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.45Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 18.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Iona Wyper | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| William Hurd | 20.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 22.8% |
| Brendan Chinn | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
| cole capizzo | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 44.5% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 13.0% |
| Ella Towner | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.