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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+5.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+5.81vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+4.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+1.22vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+4.44vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72+3.55vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.70+2.73vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida4.17-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-1.14vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.49-4.80vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-2.69vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.52-6.81vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.62-4.86vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.56-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.44Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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11.55Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.73Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.9University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.72Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.1Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| David Thompson | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 15.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.