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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.08+1.17vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+0.79vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.43+0.97vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.03-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.70+0.31vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.99-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Chicago-0.0837.3%1st Place
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2.79Marquette University-0.6322.7%1st Place
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3.97Marquette University-1.439.3%1st Place
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3.37Purdue University-1.0314.4%1st Place
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5.31University of Notre Dame-2.702.5%1st Place
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3.38Purdue University-0.9913.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Higgins | 37.3% | 27.7% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Eva Paschke | 22.7% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% |
| John Riordan | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 28.8% | 15.8% |
| Mathis Destouches | 14.4% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 6.9% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 67.6% |
| Silas Hokanson | 13.8% | 17.1% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.