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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+3.01vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.80+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+2.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.72+4.90vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.09vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.23-3.33vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.92vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.22+0.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02+0.25vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.68-1.30vs Predicted
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14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.80vs Predicted
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15McGill University-1.26-4.58vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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4.58McGill University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.86University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.91Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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3.67Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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7.24University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.31Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.7Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.2Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.42McGill University-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 18.7% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iona Wyper | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 19.6% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| cole capizzo | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 14.4% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 44.8% |
| Brendan Chinn | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Ella Towner | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.