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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.13+6.12vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+4.90vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.79vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.80-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-0.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.23-3.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.72+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53-4.69vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.47vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.22-1.61vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.26-2.30vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.68-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-2.75vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.97Northeastern University1.090.2%1st Place
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7.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.79Maine Maritime Academy0.770.1%1st Place
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4.79McGill University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.88University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.73Connecticut College1.230.2%1st Place
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8.97Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.39Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.7McGill University-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.65Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.0Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 18.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iona Wyper | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 19.4% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ella Towner | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Brendan Chinn | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 21.6% | 23.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.