← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.19+4.76vs Predicted
-
2McGill University-0.25+5.36vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.67+6.17vs Predicted
-
4Boston University-0.75+5.50vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.96-1.32vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.68+3.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+3.85vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.39-2.70vs Predicted
-
9Bentley University-0.86+1.06vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+1.32vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.48vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College-1.37-0.30vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-4.77vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.98vs Predicted
-
15Williams College-0.60-6.20vs Predicted
-
16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-2.62vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University-0.61-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.76University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
-
7.36McGill University-0.250.1%1st Place
-
9.17McGill University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
9.5Boston University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
3.68Connecticut College0.960.2%1st Place
-
9.35University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
-
5.3University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
10.06Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
11.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
-
7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
-
11.7Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
-
12.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.8Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
13.38Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.0Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Denker | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colston Howell | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Macken | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 22.7% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Cole Perra | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| James Sullivan | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% |
| Griffin Stolp | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 15.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 29.9% |
| Adrien Blanc | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.