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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.59vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.55+3.28vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+3.25vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.88-0.65vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31-2.81vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.30-1.13vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.62-5.41vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-3.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-4.32vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-3.62vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.67Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.28University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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7.25The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.8Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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4.19North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.61Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.33Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 21.8% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.8% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 21.8% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.