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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.60vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+2.29vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.55+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.88+0.40vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20+1.24vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.30-0.17vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-4.40vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-2.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-3.39vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18-2.83vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-3.62vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.41-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.64Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.28University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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7.24The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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6.83Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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3.6Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.65Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.9Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 21.0% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 21.0% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.