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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.37+5.84vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+1.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+0.55vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.30+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+1.29vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.41+2.80vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31-2.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.88-4.78vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-2.83vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.20-4.59vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.78-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.55Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.55Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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7.01Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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8.8Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.26North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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8.17Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.41The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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5.64Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.8% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 20.8% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 17.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.