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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+6.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+5.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+6.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.70+7.51vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+4.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+3.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University5.19-1.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.91vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.49-0.74vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72+1.76vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.76+0.54vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.52-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.62-2.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-2.84vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-7.48vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.44-4.16vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.99-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.18College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.51Eckerd College3.700.0%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida4.170.0%1st Place
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9.58Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.76Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.6% |
| David Thompson | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Peter Miller | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.