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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.08+1.25vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.63+0.77vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.43+0.96vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.03-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.70+0.32vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.99-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Chicago-0.0834.8%1st Place
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2.77Marquette University-0.6322.7%1st Place
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3.96Marquette University-1.439.8%1st Place
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3.35Purdue University-1.0315.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Notre Dame-2.702.2%1st Place
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3.35Purdue University-0.9915.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Higgins | 34.8% | 29.0% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Eva Paschke | 22.7% | 24.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| John Riordan | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 29.6% | 15.6% |
| Mathis Destouches | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 6.5% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 67.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 15.6% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.