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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.88+3.35vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.55+2.31vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30+1.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.36+0.82vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.47vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18-0.81vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.27vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.62-7.49vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-5.09vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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3.51Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.96Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.360.1%1st Place
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5.53Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.11The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.73Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.51Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.91Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.29Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 15.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 23.3% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| James Ozaki | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 23.3% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.0% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.